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Probabilistic Robust Parallel Design of the Subsystems Constituting a Complex System

Authors:Mahmoud Haitham, University of Michigan, United States
Kabamba Pierre, University of Michigan, United States
Ulsoy A. Galip, University of Michigan, United States
Brusher Gerald, Ford Motor Company, United States
Topic:5.4 Large Scale Complex Systems
Session:Large Scale Complex Systems - Applications
Keywords: Monte Carlo simulation, Optimization, Parallel processing, Probabilistic models, Random searches, Vehicle suspension.

Abstract

The design of complex systems, consisting of several subsystems and with performance specifications from multiple disciplines, in parallel was addressed in a previous publication using a Robust Parallel Design (RPD) approach. In this paper, RPD is extended and a Probabilistic Robust Parallel Design (PRPD) approach is proposed to handle cases where the statistical properties of uncertainties are known. Monte Carlo simulation is used to determine the value of a subsystem objective, given the known statistical distributions of uncertainties. Random search techniques (e.g., Simulated Annealing) can then be used to minimize the subsystem objective. PRPD is illustrated using a passive suspension design example of a half-car model.